Fondazione GRINS
Growing Resilient,
Inclusive and Sustainable
Galleria Ugo Bassi 1, 40121, Bologna, IT
C.F/P.IVA 91451720378
Finanziato dal Piano Nazionale di Ripresa e Resilienza (PNRR), Missione 4 (Infrastruttura e ricerca), Componente 2 (Dalla Ricerca all’Impresa), Investimento 1.3 (Partnership Estese), Tematica 9 (Sostenibilità economica e finanziaria di sistemi e territori).



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The continuously increase of the number of rainfall-induced landslides and their sever impact on the infrastructure, human lives and environment requires providing new technics for proper assessment of these natural hazards. This research provides two probabilistic models for assessing rainfall-induced landslide displacements considering Miscano slope as a case study. The first one correlates the yearly cumulative horizontal displacements with the distance from the slope toe, while the second incorporates both the distance from the toe and the yearly cumulative rainfall. Based on these two probabilistic models, hazard curves, representing the probabilistic distribution of rainfall-induced displacements, have been derived for different locations along the landslide. In addition, fragility curves have been developed, correlating the yearly cumulative rainfall to the probability of exceeding a specific displacement threshold (1 cm in this study). The outcomes of this analysis serve as input for the vulnerability assessment of the affected infrastructures crossing the slope, within the broader framework of risk assessment.
AKNOWLEDGEMENTS
This study was funded by the European Union - NextGenerationEU, in the framework of the GRINS - Growing Resilient, INclusive and Sustainable project (GRINS PE00000018). The views and opinions expressed are solely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union, nor can the European Union be held responsible for them.
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